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Tuesday, May 20, 2003

Comments - Tuesday, 20 May for Wednesday 21 May

Bounced off support (see horizontal lines on daily chart) with a positive divergence on the 30m, 60m charts. This sez to me look for a bounce tomorrow. The bigger picture is that the by-now-glaringly-obvious wedge on the daily finally cracked. It may be too much to expect a full back-kiss of the lower trendline, but broke is broke. The questions are (1) How much of a rebound (note that RSI is now in congestion zone) (2)how much repair is needed. ie, a retest of 906 or 896 or lower?

SPX weekly & monthly price & indications look bullish but the daily indicators are flashing caution as they have become overbot a bit too quickly. The daily also shows an nexus of forks what is now a high reversal (hit the predicted 939 exactly last week, then the weekly upper fork at 948 exactly).

The season favors stagnation or even decline ('Sell in May and Go Away', which has some remarkable long term odds). Always practice good discipline and have money management near the top of your plan, second only to a positive attitude.

Monday, May 19, 2003

Wall Street Poet Poem of the Week

With gloom and doom, despair and depression, and other such bearish sentiment raking traders over the coals for the past three years, it's great to see an abiding sense of humor, which always brings perspective.

Wall Street Poet Poem of the Week





moon phases
 

At last, over the rim
of the waiting earth
the moon lifted with
slow majesty
till it swung clear of the horizon and rode off,
free of moorings
- Kenneth Grahame,
The Wind in the Willows

About

blather: nonsensical talk.

At times my analysis log, at times sharing what I've learned. Always my own work and views.

Credits

Content: amg
Basis: glish & bluerobot
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